Produkt
KlappentextNew York Times bestselling author of Superforecasting and Future Babble"Genuinely arresting . . . required reading for journalists, politicians, academics, and anyone who listens to them."-Steven Pinker, author of How the Mind Works We are awash in predictions. In newspapers, blogs, and books; on radio and television. Every day experts tell us how the economy will perform next year, if housing sales will grow or shrink, and who will win the next election. Predictions are offered about the climate, food, technology, and the world our grandchildren will inhabit. And we can't get enough of it.Drawing on research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner explores our obsession with the future. He shows how famous pundits, "hedgehogs" who stick to one big idea no matter how circumstances change, become expert at explaining away predictions that are wrong while "foxes," who are more equivocal in their judgments, are simply more accurate.
Details
ISBN/GTIN978-0-452-29757-9
ProduktartTaschenbuch
EinbandartKartoniert, Paperback
FormatTrade Paperback (USA)
Verlag
Erscheinungsjahr2012
Erscheinungsdatum28.02.2012
Seiten320 Seiten
SpracheEnglisch
MasseBreite 136 mm, Höhe 204 mm, Dicke 25 mm
Gewicht245 g
Artikel-Nr.12981435
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