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Outlook for Japanese and German Future Technology

Comparing Technology Forecast Surveys
BuchKartoniert, Paperback
238 Seiten
Englisch
Physica-Verlagerschienen am26.10.1994
Possible times of realization, constraints on the realization, the current R&D level of nations or the necessity of international co-operation give hints about tomorrow's technology and its economic and societal impacts.mehr
Verfügbare Formate
BuchKartoniert, Paperback
EUR106,99
E-BookPDF1 - PDF WatermarkE-Book
EUR96,29

Produkt

KlappentextPossible times of realization, constraints on the realization, the current R&D level of nations or the necessity of international co-operation give hints about tomorrow's technology and its economic and societal impacts.
ZusammenfassungIn this book, the Delphi Study on the development of technology, which has been conducted in Germany for the first time along Japanese lines, is analysed. Comparisons of the German and Japanese results point to the strengths and weaknesses of German technology policy. The study provides companies with a detailed information base about future technology and its development.
Details
ISBN/GTIN978-3-7908-0800-1
ProduktartBuch
EinbandartKartoniert, Paperback
Erscheinungsjahr1994
Erscheinungsdatum26.10.1994
ReiheTechnology, Innovation and Policy (ISI)
Seiten238 Seiten
SpracheEnglisch
Gewicht386 g
IllustrationenXVI, 238 p.
Artikel-Nr.18217014
Rubriken
GenreWirtschaft

Inhalt/Kritik

Inhaltsverzeichnis
1 General Method.- 1.1 Review of Western Literature on the Delphi Approach.- 1.2 Overview of the Previous Delphi Experience in Japan.- 1.3 Basic Statistics.- 1.4 Special Aspects of Transposing the Japanese Delphi Approach to Another Country.- 1.5 Outline of Survey Parameters and Data Processing for the Comparison.- 2 Basic Macro Comparison.- 2.1 Expert Knowledge.- 2.2 Importance.- 2.3 Time of Realization.- 2.4 Foresight Precision.- 2.5 International Co-operation.- 2.6 R&D Level.- 2.7 Constraints.- 2.8 Conclusions on the Macro Level.- 3 Cross Comparisons on the Macro Level.- 3.1 Comparing Expert Knowledge with Importance.- 3.2 Comparing Expert Knowledge with Forecasted Time of Realization.- 3.3 Comparing Expert Knowledge with Constraints on Realization.- 3.4 Comparison of the Importance and the Time of Realization.- 3.5 Comparison of the Time of Realization and the Time Variance.- 3.6 Comparing Certainty with Time of Realization Variance.- 3.7 Comparison of the Necessity for International Co-operation with the Importance.- 3.8 Comparison of the Necessity for International Co-operation and the Estimated Time of Realization.- 3.9 Comparison of the Necessity for International Co-operation and the Present R&D Level.- 3.10 Correlation between Constraints and the Necessity of International Co-operation.- 3.11 Correlation of the R&D Level and the Importance of the Topics.- 3.12 Time of Realization and R&D Level.- 3.13 Correlation between the R&D Level and the Various Constraints on the Realization.- 3.14 Comparison of the Importance and the Various Constraints on the Realization.- 3.15 Time of Realization in Comparison with the Constraints on Realization.- 3.16 Comparative Conclusions for the Countries.- 4 Cross Comparisons of Technological Topics on the Micro Level.- 4.1 Comparing some Important Innovation Scenarios.- 4.2 Estimation of the Importance on the Micro Level.- 4.3 Forecast of the Realization Times on the Micro Level.- 4.4 International Co-operation.- 4.5 Time Variance of the Forecast Compared with Certainty.- 4.6 Most Efficient Innovation Projects.- 5 Conclusions.- Literature.mehr

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